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  • Energy Musings, September 1, 2023

    Energy Musings contains articles and analyses dealing with important issues and developments within the energy industry, including historical perspective, with potentially significant implications for executives planning their companies’ future.

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    September 1, 2023

    NJ Calls It “Choice” But It Is Really About “Free Money”

    The Governor of New Jersey is telling his residents that the legislation to ban the sale of internal combustion vehicles by 2035 is all about improving their choices in buying cars. Buy used or go next door are the answers for those who do not want an EV or hybrid. His climate director gave away the game: there is so much free money residents would be short-changing themselves if they didn’t grab some of it. Washington’s money printing press drives government policies. READ MORE

    Last Tuesday’s Duds For Offshore Wind

    BOEM’s Gulf of Mexico offshore wind lease sale received only two bids for the single Louisiana lease offered, while the two leases off Texas received no bids. The offshore wind movement took a hit. There are numerous reasons why developers were reluctant to bid. The same day, leading offshore wind developer Ørsted announced a $2.3 billion impairment of its U.S. offshore wind portfolio, the second impairment in 12 months. Inflation, capital costs, and reduced subsidies are the reason. The company is having similar problems with its North Sea projects. Ørsted’s stock fell by 25% as investors question if the bad news is over. READ MORE

    August Market Doldrums Are Over And Energy Did Well

    Energy was the best-performing sector for August, giving the sector a second consecutive month in the top spot. Fundamentals for the sector continue to improve, which enabled oil prices to rise over August. It appears global oil demand is growing, and supply is restrained supporting higher oil prices and energy company earnings, which drive stock prices. The balance of 2023 may see these trends continue. Enjoy the ride. READ MORE

    NJ Calls It “Choice” But It Is Really About “Free Money”

    New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy is a big green energy promoter. As the Wall Street Journal pointed out in an editorial, he wants to force residents to buy electric vehicles (EV) to save the planet. He has pushed the state to adopt California’s ban on the sale of new internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles by 2035, barely over a decade from now. Murphy has not only championed EVs, but he also led the charge to give the state’s share of federal tax revenues from offshore wind destined for residents’ pocketbooks back to Ørsted, the Danish developer of the Ocean Wind project which has become a lightning rod of political outrage.

    By wanting to burnish his green credentials, Murphy pushed to have New Jersey, one of the 17 states that routinely follow California’s auto standards, join the dozen states that have also signed onto the ban on ICE vehicle sales. Murphy is selling his proposal as expanding the vehicle choice options for residents while disguising the reality that their ability to purchase a new ICE vehicle is going to be restricted as the state heads toward the 2035 ban.

    Read the full article on Energy-Musings.com »

  • Energy Musings, June 20, 2023

    Energy Musings contains articles and analyses dealing with important issues and developments within the energy industry, including historical perspective, with potentially significant implications for executives planning their companies’ future.

    Download the PDF

    June 20, 2023

    Offshore Wind Confronts A Deteriorating Market

    Last week, a show cause hearing for SouthCoast Wind was held by the RI EFSB to understand why the company wants the approval process for its transmission cables to go forward while the financial viability of the project is in doubt. SouthCoast Wind, as well as other Massachusetts, Connecticut, and New York projects, are terminating or renegotiating their power purchase agreements because the price of the electricity contracted to be sold to utilities will not finance the wind farms’ construction.

    The unfinanceable status of these wind farms arises because the power was sold on the assumption that construction costs were always declining and would continue that trend. Billions of dollars of capital have been wagered on that assumption, and now developers are looking at huge financial losses. They do not want to admit any responsibility for the financial disasters. They want to be rewarded for terminating PPAs and given reconfigured bidding procedures to save them.

    We watched the two-plus hour hearing. We analyze the issues raised, the challenges facing the market today, and how developers expect to be absolved of mismanagement. SouthCoast Wind’s CEO was the star witness, and he delivered an impressive Alfred E. Newman imitation.

    The offshore wind market is in turmoil like never before. Utility regulators face Hobson’s Choices, suggesting no one is going to be happy where the industry lands and especially its upcoming journey. Given shifting attitudes toward “green energy,” wrapping oneself in the flag of public policy may not be the answer as much as developers try. READ MORE

    Offshore Wind Confronts A Deteriorating Market

    Up and down the East Coast, offshore wind developers are waking up to find their power purchase agreements (PPA) underwater. Trying to avoid financial disasters, they are scrambling for solutions. Why the turmoil? Simple. Actual project costs are wildly off from the estimates when PPA prices were locked in. Penalties to get out of PPAs are a cheaper option, especially if you are not going to be penalized for terminating the contracts. Even the inflated renewable energy subsidies in the misnamed Inflation Reduction Act won’t save these bad deals.

    The turmoil’s magnitude was at the center of a hearing before the Rhode Island Energy Facility Sitting Board (RI EFSB) last week. SouthCoast Wind, a 1,200 megawatt (MW) project in federal waters off Rhode Island to supply nine Massachusetts utilities with clean electricity, needs the RI EFSB’s approval to land its transmission cables and allow their passage across the state to connect with the regional power grid at Brayton Point in Somerset, Massachusetts.

    The two-plus hour “show cause hearing” on June 12 had twice been rescheduled at the request of SouthCoast Wind – December 19, 2022, and February 27, 2023 – as the company’s assessment shifted from a viable project to an unfinanceable one. As the RI EFSB outlined in its show cause hearing notice, the need arose when it learned from the media on November 10, 2022, that SouthCoast Wind was requesting the Massachusetts Department of Public Utilities (MADPU) to suspend their review of the PPAs given the company’s realization the project was no longer financeable, i.e., unprofitable.

    Read the full article on Energy-Musings.com »

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